Wind Power Prediction Models

This report describes investigations performed for the prediction of the power available from the wind at the Goldstone, California, antenna site complex. The background for power prediction is derived from a statistical evaluation of available wind speed data records at this location and at nearby locations similarly situated within the Mojave Desert. In addition to a model for power prediction over relatively long periods of time, the report describes an interim simulation model that produces sample wind speeds. The interim model furnishes uncorrelated sample speeds at hourly intervals that reproduce the statistical wind distribution at Goldstone. Beyond this, -► , there is a discussion of a stochastic simulation model to provide speed samples representative of both the statistical speed distributions and correlations.